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February 16, 2016

Gold Slumps Below $1,200, Risk Appetite Dents Safe-Haven Demand

(Reuters) - Gold stretched its losses into a third session and tumbled below $1,200 an ounce on Tuesday, as easing concerns over the global economy buoyed stocks and hurt safe-haven demand for the metal.   

Bullion's three-day loss of more than 4 percent, its biggest such drop in seven months, takes the precious metal further away from a one-year high reached last week and threatens to undo a rally that has seen prices gain 13 percent so far this year.
   
Goldman Sachs's recommendation to short gold, prompted by the bank's belief that the recent fear-induced rally has been overdone, added to the bearish sentiment in the market. 
   
Spot gold fell 1.5 percent to $1,191.40 an ounce by 0415 GMT, after earlier hitting a session low of $1,190.40. The metal slid 2.3 percent on Monday, its biggest slump since July.
   
"The (precious metals) complex has benefited from the recent global risk-off attitude and heightened volatility. However, a pull-back was inevitable at some stage," MKS Group trader James Gardiner said. 
   
U.S. gold futures also fell, hitting a session low of $1,191.50. Silver dropped more than 1 percent.
   
Spot gold may fall more to $1,178, Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao said. 
   
A correction in gold prices had been expected as the metal had risen quickly over a short period of time. It gained $200 from its January lows to its year-high last week, when it also posted its best week since 2011. 
   
On Thursday, gold hit a year-high of $1,260.60 as concerns over the health of the banking sector and fears of a global slowdown prompted investors to steer clear of equities and buy safe-haven gold.
   
But world stocks rose sharply on Monday as China's central bank fixed the yuan at a much stronger rate and oil cemented recent gains, easing fears of global deflation. 
   
Asian shares extended their gains on Tuesday on a combination of stabilising Chinese markets, a rebound in oil prices and solid U.S. consumption data. 
   
The dollar pulled away from multi-month lows against the yen and the euro, and jumped nearly 1 percent against a basket of major currencies. 
   
"Fears around China, oil and negative interest rates have likely been overstated in the gold price and other financial markets," Goldman Sachs said in a note, adding that it expects gold to fall to $1,100 an ounce in three months. 
   
Top consumer China's return from a week-long holiday did not help either. Chinese investors sold into gold's rally, a sign they do not expect prices to go much higher and cannot be counted on to support the market, with post-Lunar New Year demand set to falter. 

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