October 12, 2016
Gold Rises as Dollar Sags; Fed Policy Minutes in Focus
(Reuters) - Gold edged higher on Wednesday as the U.S. dollar retreated, with markets waiting for minutes from the September Federal Reserve policy meeting for more clues on any interest rate hikes this year.
Spot gold was up 0.4 percent at $1,257.41 an ounce by 0400 GMT, after falling half-a-percent in the prior session.
U.S. gold futures gained 0.3 percent to $1,259 an ounce.
Minutes of the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee's (FOMC) September meeting are scheduled to be released at 1800 GMT on Wednesday.
"If the minutes provide more data that the voter members in the FOMC are showing greater divergence in opinions, (then)combined with the recent release of U.S. economic data ... the probability of Fed hiking the interest rates in December is possibly going to increase," said NAB analyst Vyanne Lai.
The upside risks to gold prices associated with Republican candidate Donald Trump's presidency after the first two debates have also receded, said Lai adding that the seasonally strong physical demand period in October would however provide some support to gold prices.
"The overall trend into December would be a downward one."
Traders have priced in a 70-percent chance that the Fed will raise rates at its Dec. 13-14 meeting.
The metal is highly-sensitive to U.S. interest rates, increases in which lift the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold while boosting the dollar, in which it is priced.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was down 0.2 percent at 97.513. The index surged to a seven-month high on Tuesday.
"The spectre of falling U.S. equity markets should theoretically be supportive for gold," INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir said in a note.
Asian shares flirted with three-week lows on Wednesday after a dour start to Wall Street's corporate earnings season knocked U.S. stocks.
Spot gold still targets its Oct. 7 low of $1,241.20 per ounce, as its bounce from this level has completed, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.
Among other precious metals, platinum was up 0.2 percent at $946.50 an ounce, having touched an over six-month low of $939.60 an ounce.
Palladium gained 0.2 percent to $648 an ounce, after touching a low of $643.72 - its weakest since July 19.
Silver climbed 0.7 percent at $17.55 an ounce, having declined percent in the previous session.