October 04, 2018
Gold edges down as dollar firms on hawkish Fed, robust U.S. data
(Reuters) - Gold prices inched down on Thursday, after upbeat U.S. economic data and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve policymakers raised prospects of the central bank sticking to its tighter monetary policy, boosting the dollar.
About half of the Fed's policymakers, including chairman Jerome Powell, used public appearances on Wednesday to show an increasingly unified view that the U.S. economy was not headed for any obvious potholes.
Further supporting the dollar was data showing strength in the U.S. job market, with service sector activity racing to a 21-year high in September.
Spot gold inched down 0.1 percent to $1,196.25 an ounce at 0447 GMT, after falling about 0.5 percent in the previous session. Prices held to a narrow range between $1,195.36 and $1,198.93 on Thursday.
U.S. gold futures were down 0.3 percent at $1,199.9 an ounce.
"Gold remains heavy due to strong U.S. economic data which supports the emerging hawkish Fed narrative, underpinning the dollar sentiment," said Stephen Innes, APAC trading head at OANDA in Singapore.
The Fed raised U.S. rates last week and said it planned four more increases by the end of 2019 and another in 2020, citing steady economic growth and a robust jobs market.
Higher interest rates tend to boost the dollar and push bond yields up, putting pressure on gold prices by increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.
"The dollar is very strong and putting gold under pressure... People are now buying the dollar," said Peter Fung,head of dealing at Wing Fung Precious Metals in Hong Kong.
The dollar index marked a fresh six-week peak against its peers on Thursday.
Gold prices have fallen for the past six months, losing over 12 percent, largely due to dollar strength, with the U.S. currency benefiting from a vibrant U.S. economy, rising U.S. interest rates and fears of a global trade war.
Investors are watching out for the U.S. non-farm payrolls data due on Friday. According to a Reuters survey of economists, non-farm payrolls likely increased by 185,000 in September after jumping 201,000 in August.
Spot gold may test a support at $1,193 per ounce, a break below which could cause a loss to the next support at $1,188, while a break above $1,201 could lead to a gain to $1,207, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.
Meanwhile, the Italian government indicated it was open to trimming its budget deficit and debt, easing fears about fiscal policy in the euro zone's third-biggest economy, which dented safe haven buying interest for gold.
Holdings in SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, fell 0.84 percent to 23,522,860.09 ounces on Wednesday, the lowest since February 2016.
Among other precious metals, silver little changed at $14.58 an ounce and palladium was flat at $1,055.22.
Platinum was down 0.6 percent to $817.5 per ounce.